Posted by Chris Lambert
Already a more Spring-like feel to the air this morning with temperatures starting off in the mid 40s. Mostly sunny skies prevail today as highs reach the mid 60s inland, near 60 at the coast, and mid 50s across the Cape. Heading to Fenway? Game time temps near 60 will fall into the 50s with a sea breeze kicking in by the middle innings.
A few showers and a rumble of thunder slide in after midnight tonight and very early Tuesday morning. That rain is along a warm front which will provide us with the warmest weather we've seen in about 6 months by Tuesday afternoon. With a bit of sun breaking out Tuesday afternoon and a southwest wind taking over, we'll run near 70 degrees!!! Likely the first 70 in Boston since the 74 on October 20th.
Beyond Tuesday, it's complicated. The geographical difference between temps in the 40s & 50s and temps in the 70s to near 80, won't be that much Wednesday-Friday. It all depends on where the front sets up. Some models suggest that we're on the warmer side, some, on the cooler. One thing to keep in mind this time of year, with cold ocean waters and a deep snow pack still across northern New England and Canada, the cold air tends to press these fronts farther south.
Here's how I expect it to play out: Wednesday will vary greatly depending on location. Cape Ann may be stuck in the low 50s, but we'll reach the 70s in southern Worcester County. Town in between average in the 60s. That cooler weather, and even a few showers take over for all areas by Thursday. The best chance of steadier rain comes Friday, and being on the colder side of the front with a northeast wind, I think we'd be hard pressed to get out of the 40s. Yuck!