Gaming The System
Posted by Pete Bouchard
So what did you think?
How would you rate today's weather? 5? 6? 7 out of 10? Hope you liked it, because today's weather was essentially a dress rehearsal for the next 6 days.
It's the nature of the beast here folks. A deep tropical connection is setting up on the East Coast, and the focus for occasional downpours will be from the Mid-Atlantic to New England. We'll play the sun-cloud-storm game, and try to flesh out the dry times in the next few days.
First up: the weekend. Hmmm..how do I spin it? Not washed out, but not ideal either. (Location is important too.) The short take on it is that each day will feature a little sun, a lot of scat'd downpours and storms and plenty of humidity. The threat for wet weather is all day Saturday and mostly Sunday afternoon. Timing these storms/downpours is difficult at best, so keep your interactive radar nearby and mind the skies.
Any one of these storms could put down a tremendous amount of rain. Here's a picture of one such downpour that got out of hand in Western Mass. this evening:
The issue here is "training", whereby storms form a long 'train' of rain and hammer a very localized spot with downpours. This particular storm dumped over 2-4" of rain in a short amount of time, prompting flash flood warnings throughout the Connecticut River Valley and Western Worcester County. Rainfall rates during the height of the storm were up to 6-7" per hour!!
Needless to say, if you get caught up in one of these, you're going to get wet. Keep an eye to the sky and make do this weekend.
I've often harped about June being a wet summer month, but I now have some numbers to back my claim. Data from the Blue Hill Observatory show that since 1998, we average a wet (sometimes record-setting) June approximately every 2-3 years!
Bottom line: maybe it's best to wait until July-September to take that vacation.