Dry Days Are Numbered
Posted by Pete Bouchard
These are some prize winning days, eh? I walked the Rose Kennedy Greenway
this afternoon, soaking in the sun and admiring the folks playing pianos (Elton John). Highs crested near 80 again, but clouds were sneaking in all afternoon. Showers were still a good distance from Mass, however. The closest I could find them was Erie, PA.
Burning question of the night: will they make it in here?
But given the fact that this system is feeble and the moisture isn't congregating anywhere, I'll take the Jack Johnson approach: maybe pretty much always means no.
If we see the showers, they will likely be spotty, weak and brief. This is simply a warm front trying to get through, and by Sunday most of the moisture will have been stripped away. Our next hope for a soaking rain is south...in the form of a tropical system.
Meet Karen, a newly formed tropical storm in the Gulf of Mexico:
Karen is expected to make landfall on Saturday afternoon near Pensacola, FL. She could become a hurricane just before landfall, but given the amount of sheer (wind changing with height - it shreds tropical systems) and dry air (gobbles up fledgling tropical systems) there is no guarantee.
What we are watching for is the upper level wind. Could it be in the right place at the right time to bring us Karen's remnants? I think it might. And this could be the best of both worlds, Miley. In the midst of this dry spell, a weakened tropical system colliding with an advancing cool front might be just what the doctor ordered.
Timeframe on this is Monday night and perhaps early Tuesday. Timing is still speculative, since the forward speed of the system could change, but I'm confident that SOME moisture gets in here in SOME form. And with the U.S. Drought Monitor now placing parts of New England in "Abnormally Dry" conditions,
we'll take what we can get.
Rays are in town to take on the RED HOT Sox, and while the weather gets more cloudy, the showers will be few and far between.
Play ball and